Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler)

Referee: Rivas M. (Usa)


	Phoenix Rising		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.3
	2.08	3.45	3.41
	1.99	3.52	3.34	Watch
	2.01	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
45.9%

Draw
26.5%

Rio Grande Valley
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rios R. (G) 30. Fuenmayor A. 3. Stenberg J. 5. Traore M. 2. King D. (C) 8. Hernandez J. 67. Harvey C. 23. Munjoma E. 21. Armenakas P. 9. Arteaga M. 17. Trejo D.	1. Deric T. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 2. Ricketts J. 19. Kinzner E. 6. Benitez G. 8. Davila T. 5. Cabezas J. (C) 11. Galindrez J. 10. Pinzon C. 12. Ruiz R. 23. Francois C.
Substitutes
29. Formella D. 4. Krutzen D. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 16. Torres G. 15. Uzochokwu H. 10. Varela F. 26. Zambrano R.	17. Cerro I. 16. Coronado R. 29. Frame C. 14. Knapp M. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Guerra J.	Cabrera W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
30.08.23	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	5:0 ✺
05.08.23	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
30.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	1:0
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1
31.08.22	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
06.11.21	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:4 penalties
31.07.21	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:1
13.07.19	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	0:1
10.05.19	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:1

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