Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis)

Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)


	Indy Eleven		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.8
	2.35	3.43	2.87
	2.31	3.24	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.75)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.79 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
39.3%

Draw
27.6%

Rio Grande Valley
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

24.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Indy Eleven - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trilk T. (G) 25. Rebellon B. 4. Jerome M. 15. Arturo Diz 23. Boudadi Y. 20. Asante S. 8. Blake J. 6. Lindley C. 13. Guenzatti S. 10. Robledo H. 29. Stefano Pinho	21. Merancio C. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 15. Nodarse F. 6. Benitez G. 16. Coronado R. 5. Cabezas J. 14. Knapp M. 10. Pinzon C. 8. Davila T. 30. Monis A. 9. Lopez F.
Substitutes
46. Crawford C. (G) 22. Dambrot R. 42. Martinez D. 21. Molina R. 3. Reveno B. 2. Vazquez J. 7. Velasquez S.	17. Cerro I. 23. Francois C. 11. Galindrez J. 19. Kinzner E. 4. Pimentel E. 20. Ritondale T.
Coaches
Lowry M.	Cabrera W.

Preview

Recent matches Indy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Grande Valley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Indy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Indy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
20.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	New Mexico United - Indy Eleven	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Indy Eleven - Miami	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWWT
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
17.09.23	Rio Grande Valley - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Indy Eleven	1:2

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