Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Colunga		Gijón Industrial

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.15	3.3
	2.04	3.23	3.48
	2	3	3.5
	2.06	3.14	3.36
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.43 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colunga
44.8%

Draw
28.8%

Gijón Industrial
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gijón Industrial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colunga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gijón Industrial than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Colunga - Gijón Industrial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Recent performances by Colunga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gijón Industrial is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Colunga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CD Colunga	5	3	1	1	9:7	2	10
9	Gijon Industrial	5	2	1	2	8:6	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Praviano - Colunga	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Colunga - Lenense	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	San Martín - Colunga	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Colunga - Covadonga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Avilés Stadium - Colunga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLT
- UD Gijón Industrial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Gijón Industrial - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ceares - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gijón Industrial - Caudal Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Club Siero - Gijón Industrial	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Gijón Industrial - Navarro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.02.24	Colunga - Gijón Industrial	3:2
09.04.22	Gijón Industrial - Colunga	1:1
28.11.21	Colunga - Gijón Industrial	1:0
03.02.19	Gijón Industrial - Colunga	0:2

Colunga - Gijón Industrial: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide