Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Praviano		Colunga

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.84	3.30	4.24	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.83	3.3	3.96
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	4 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praviano
49.3%

Draw
28.1%

Colunga
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praviano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Praviano - Colunga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 4.

Praviano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Colunga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Praviano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Praviano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Praviano	8	3	2	3	16:12	4	11
11	CD Colunga	8	3	2	3	14:20	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Mosconia - Praviano	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Praviano	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Navarro - Praviano	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Praviano - Gijón Industrial	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW
- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Colunga - Lenense	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	San Martín - Colunga	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Colunga - Covadonga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Avilés Stadium - Colunga	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Colunga - Llanera	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.02.25	Praviano - Colunga	1:1
10.03.24	Colunga - Praviano	0:1
22.10.23	Praviano - Colunga	2:0
05.02.23	Colunga - Praviano	0:1
02.10.22	Praviano - Colunga	1:0
13.02.22	Praviano - Colunga	0:3
30.05.21	Praviano - Colunga	1:1

Praviano - Colunga