Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Colunga		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.25	1.36
	7.72	4.67	1.35
	7.65	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.36
	7.63	4.41	1.41
	7	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (6.2)	4.46 ↑ (4.1)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colunga
12.3%

Draw
20.5%

Covadonga
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.2%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21.3%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Colunga - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 1.

Colunga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Covadonga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Covadonga is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	Avilés Stadium - Colunga	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Colunga - Llanera	1:7 ✺
09.11.25	Real Titánico - Colunga	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Colunga - Llanes	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Colunga	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ceares - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Club Siero - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Covadonga - Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.03.25	Colunga - Covadonga	1:1
16.11.24	Covadonga - Colunga	3:0
29.01.23	Covadonga - Colunga	1:0
25.09.22	Colunga - Covadonga	0:0
09.01.22	Covadonga - Colunga	1:2
15.09.19	Covadonga - Colunga	6:0

Colunga - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide