Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Colunga |
|
Lenense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.1 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.11 |
3.32 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.02 |
3.36 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.83) |
3.07 ↓
(3.21) |
3.29 ↓
(4.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Colunga
42.8% | Draw
29.6% | Lenense
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colunga's form might have worsened.Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lenense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-4%)Colunga - Lenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 2.Recent performances by Colunga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Lenense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Colunga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Colunga is considered a favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 16.03.25 | Colunga - Lenense | 4:0 | | 01.11.24 | Lenense - Colunga | 0:0 | | 17.02.24 | Lenense - Colunga | 2:0 | | 01.10.23 | Colunga - Lenense | 0:0 | | 05.01.22 | Colunga - Lenense | 2:1 | | 05.09.21 | Lenense - Colunga | 3:3 | | 24.11.19 | Lenense - Colunga | 1:2 |
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