Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 13

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)


	Colwyn Bay		Flint Mountain

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.4	5.4
	1.39	5.34	4.45
	1.41	5.8	5.52
	1.37	5.3	5.56
	1.37	5.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	5.45 ↑ (5.2)	5.27 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
66%

Draw
16.7%

Flint Mountain
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

17.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

16.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Colwyn Bay - Flint Mountain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Parry J. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Lindfield C. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Hart S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
25.10.24	Colwyn Bay - Prestatyn Town	7:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Buckley Town - Colwyn Bay	2:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
12.10.24	Guilsfield - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
05.10.24	Gresford Athletic - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
27.09.24	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW
- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
25.10.24	Flint Mountain - Buckley Town	3:4 ✺
12.10.24	Holywell Town - Flint Mountain	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Flint Mountain - Llay Welfare	4:2 ✺
27.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Flint Mountain	1:5 ✺
13.09.24	Bangor 1876 - Flint Mountain	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL

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