Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Guilsfield		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	5.2	4.8	1.43
	5.78	4.96	1.36
	5.89	5.05	1.43
	5.82	5	1.39
	5.2	4.8	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (4.51)	4.92 ↑ (4.4)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
16.4%

Draw
18.6%

Colwyn Bay
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

20.6%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

20.4%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guilsfield - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Dafydd G. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Dafydd G. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Dafydd G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 0 - 4, Dafydd G. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 5, Roberts E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
05.10.24	Caersws - Guilsfield	5:3 ✺
28.09.24	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Guilsfield	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Guilsfield - Llandudno	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
05.10.24	Gresford Athletic - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
27.09.24	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	6:3 ✺
13.09.24	Denbigh Town - Colwyn Bay	2:4 ✺
07.09.24	Colwyn Bay - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
26.08.24	Buckley Town - Colwyn Bay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
02.01.23	Colwyn Bay - Guilsfield	6:0
22.10.22	Guilsfield - Colwyn Bay	2:3
26.03.22	Colwyn Bay - Guilsfield	3:1
23.10.21	Guilsfield - Colwyn Bay	1:0

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