Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Flint Mountain		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.9	5.2
	1.43	4.85	4.88
	1.47	5.16	5.26	Watch
	1.43	4.8	5.25
	1.42	4.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)	4.9 ↓ (5.25)	5.12 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Mountain
63.6%

Draw
18.6%

Llay Welfare
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.3%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

16.5%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flint Mountain's form might have worsened.

Llay Welfare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint Mountain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (-5%)

Flint Mountain - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Hayes M. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Hayes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
66', 2 - 1, Peate M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Kamilo B. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Parry J. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Parry J. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Flint Mountain	1:5 ✺
13.09.24	Bangor 1876 - Flint Mountain	4:1 ✺
06.09.24	Flint Mountain - Denbigh Town	4:4 ✺
28.08.24	Flint Mountain - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Mountain	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWL
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
28.09.24	Llay Welfare - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Llay Welfare - Caersws	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Llay Welfare	6:2 ✺
26.08.24	Bangor 1876 - Llay Welfare	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Llay Welfare - Holywell Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL

Flint Mountain - Llay Welfare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide