Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Comércio e Indústria		Moura

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.2
	1.97	3.17	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.58)	3.29 ↓ (3.68)	4.01 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comércio e Indústria
49.5%

Draw
27.7%

Moura
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

16.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comércio e Indústria's form might have worsened.

Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comércio e Indústria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moura than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Comércio e Indústria - Moura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Reis Flor G. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Pistelli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, ⚽,
77', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Comércio Indústria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moura has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comércio Indústria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comércio Indústria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Amora - Comércio e Indústria	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Comércio e Indústria - Sintrense	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Louletano - Comércio e Indústria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Moura - Moncarapachense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
19.01.25	Serpa - Moura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.11.24	Moura - Comércio e Indústria	1:2

Comércio e Indústria - Moura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide