Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Serpa		Moura

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.5
	1.5	3.95	5.6
	1.42	4.2	6.38
	1.5	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	4 ↑ (3.51)	5.77 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
61.5%

Draw
22.7%

Moura
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serpa's performance.

Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moura than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Serpa - Moura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Mendes L. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Sohni A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.01.25	Amora - Serpa	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Lagoa - Serpa	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Serpa - Estrela da Amadora B	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Sintrense - Serpa	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Serpa - Louletano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLL
- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.01.25	Moura - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Amora - Moura	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Moura - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Moura	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Sintrense - Moura	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.08.24	Moura - Serpa	1:4

Serpa - Moura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide