Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moura		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.31	3.15	2.85
	2.34	3.08	2.88
	2.31	3.13	2.9
	2.31	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)	2.86 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
39.3%

Draw
29%

Fabril do Barreiro
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

21.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moura's form might have worsened.

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Moura - Fabril do Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Ramos D. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Moura is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fabril do Barreiro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moura could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
19.01.25	Serpa - Moura	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Moura - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Amora - Moura	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Moura - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTTW
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Lagoa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sintrense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Louletano - Fabril do Barreiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.09.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Moura	1:1

Moura - Fabril do Barreiro