Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Moura		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	5.6	3.7	1.54
	5.81	3.66	1.56
	5.96	3.72	1.51
	5.6	3.7	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (5.73)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
15.9%

Draw
24.7%

Moncarapachense
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Moura - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Tavinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Tavinho ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Moura is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moncarapachense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
19.01.25	Serpa - Moura	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Moura - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Moncarapachense - Amora	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Moncarapachense - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Sintrense - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Moncarapachense - Louletano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.10.24	Moncarapachense - Moura	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.03.18	Moncarapachense - Moura	1:3

Moura - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide