Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Palma Travassos (Ribeirao Preto)


	Comercial SP		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.80
	2.50	2.95	2.63	Watch
	2.48	2.72	2.94
	3	2.81	2.51
	2.80	2.65	2.50
	2.51	2.74	2.96	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.62)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
34.3%

Draw
32.5%

EC São Bernardo
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Filipinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

EC São Bernardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
22.08.26	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	4:3 ✺
18.08.26	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Comercial SP - União São João	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLLWW
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Copa Paulista
22.08.26	Santo André - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	EC São Bernardo - São José-SP	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	São Caetano - EC São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	São José-SP - EC São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	EC São Bernardo - Santo André	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo	0:0

Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide