Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Comercial SP		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.75
	4.15	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.27	3.54	1.75	Watch
	4.15	3.2	1.7
	4.2	3.57	1.82	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.24)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	1.76 (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
21.8%

Draw
26.6%

EC Noroeste
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.2%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Comercial SP - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Paulo Victor Sousa ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Paulo Victor Sousa ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 0.

Noroeste's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Noroeste is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Comercial SP - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Jabaquara - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Comercial SP - Inter de Bebedouro	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jacareí - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Comercial SP - VOCEM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WLWWW
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.26	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	EC Noroeste - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	3:0
30.07.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	0:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.22	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:0
30.07.22	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	3:3

Comercial SP - EC Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide