Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 15Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Comercial SP |
|
Tanabi |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.82 |
2.58 |
|
 |
2.61 |
2.85 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.7 |
2.85 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.61 |
3.13 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↓ (2.78) |
2.89 ↓ (3.02) |
2.64 ↑ (2.44) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Comercial SP 34.2% | Draw 31.4% | Tanabi 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Tanabi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tanabi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Comercial SP - Tanabi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).Comercial SP is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tanabi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;