Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 14Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Jabaquara |
|
Comercial SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
2.98 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.81 |
2.94 |
1.99 |
|
 |
3.79 |
3.02 |
2.01 |
|
 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2 |
|
 |
3.63 |
3.22 |
2.02 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.14) |
3.01 ↑
(2.93) |
2.01 ↓
(2.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jabaquara
24.9% | Draw
30.1% | Comercial SP
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Jabaquara - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).Recent performances by Jabaquara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Comercial SP is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). Comercial SP will hold a modest advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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