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Como vs Genoa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, September 15, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Como		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.75
	1.65	3.7	5.9	Watch
	1.66	3.8	6.2
	1.68	3.63	5.17	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.7	3.85	5.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	5.64 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
56.9%

Draw
26.1%

Genoa
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	8.8%	10.3%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Como (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Como (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.87) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (54 of 67 users predict this - 80.6%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.13% – 90.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 27 - 84.4%). Genoa (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 31. Vojvoda M. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Valle A. 6. Caqueret M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 19. Kuhn N. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 7. Morata A.	1. Leali N. (G) 20. Sabelli S. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 3. Martin A. 32. Frendrup M. 73. Masini P. 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 90. Cerri A. 34. Diego Carlos 11. Douvikas A. 5. Goldaniga E. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	23. Carboni V. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 10. Junior Messias 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L. 9. Vitinha
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Vieira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Paz N. ⚽, Morata A. (A),
29', Ostigard L. 🟨,
39', Valle A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
57', Sabelli S. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
59', Vieira P. 🟨,
65', Morata A. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
65', Da Cunha L. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
71', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
71', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
73', Caqueret M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
73', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
81', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
81', Roberto S. 🟨,
85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
88', Ramon J. 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, Ekuban C. ⚽,
90+5', Fabregas C. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Genoa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Como is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Onana J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Como: Van der Brempt I. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Bologna - Como	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Barcelona - Como	5:0 ✺
06.08.25	Betis - Como	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Genoa - Lecce	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Genoa - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Rennes - Genoa	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Genoa - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Como - Genoa	1:0
07.11.24	Genoa - Como	1:1
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Como - Genoa	2:2
13.11.22	Genoa - Como	1:1

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Como - Genoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide