The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 31.2%
Draw 30.7%
Genoa 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
29.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Lecce - Genoa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Genoa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 12th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Lecce may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lecce has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:17 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lecce against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Genoa
9
3
1
5
8:13
-5
10
14
Lecce
8
3
0
5
9:14
-5
9
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Genoa: 0.17% Lecce: 0.14%
Last Results with these Odds
Genoa - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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