Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Como		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	11
	1.23	5.75	11.5
	1.22	7	13
	1.23	6.61	13.08
	1.09	8.36	30.00	Watch
	1.25	5	12
	1.24	5.85	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	6.37 ↑ (5.5)	14.65 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
78.6%

Draw
14.9%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

17.1%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Como - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Südtirol (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 1 - 20%). Südtirol (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 42. Addai J. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 11. Douvikas A. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 10. Paz N. 14. Ramon J. 8. Roberto S. 17. Rodriguez J. 31. Vojvoda M.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 3. Bordon F. 17. Casiraghi D. 14. Coulibaly M. 24. Davi S. 2. El Kaouakibi H. 30. Giorgini A. 28. Kofler R. 8. Mallamo A. 9. Pecorino E. 21. Tait F.
Substitutes
20. Baturina M. 80. Caqueret M. 63. Cutrone P. 38. Diao A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 5. Goldaniga E. 12. Henrique Menke (G) 7. Morata A. 23. Perrone M. 28. Smolcic I. 41. Valle A. 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	46. Brik D. 23. Davi F. 12. Drago G. (G) 11. Italeng J. 6. Martini J. 5. Masiello A. 79. Molina S. 90. Odogwu R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 18. Tronchin S.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Casiraghi D. (Pen),
39', 1 - 1, Douvikas A. ⚽, Vojvoda M. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Douvikas A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
42', 3 - 1, Da Cunha L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Roberto S. 🟨,
57', Roberto S. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
57', Rodriguez J. ↓, Diao A. ↑,
59', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
60', Mallamo A. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
66', Addai J. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
66', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
69', Bordon F. 🟨,
74', Casiraghi D. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
74', Tait F. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
79', Kofler R. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
82', Da Cunha L. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
88', Bordon F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 2.

Como is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Como may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Como is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Barcelona - Como	5:0 ✺
06.08.25	Betis - Como	2:3 ✺
27.07.25	Como - Ajax	3:0 ✺
23.07.25	Como - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Como - Lille	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Bolzano	10:0 ✺
09.08.25	Trento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Verona	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
09.05.25	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1
11.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:1
10.09.22	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	2:0
31.08.14	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
11.05.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:0 penalties

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