Match Info

Serie B - Play Out - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.35	Watch
	1.88	3.41	4.94
	1.9	3.33	4.42	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.4
	1.84	3.42	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.92)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)	4.53 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
50.8%

Draw
28.4%

Bari
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bari (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 26. Frigerio M. R. 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 13. Mantovani V. (C) 26. Odenthal C. 43. Nikolaou D. 93. Dorval M. 27. Braunoder M. 18. Maggiore G. 28. Piscopo K. 8. Pagano R. 11. Moncini G. 17. Rao E.
Substitutes
1. Borra D. (G) 89. Crnigoj D. 23. Davi F. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 90. Odogwu R. 13. Sabatini C. 21. Tait F. 62. Theiner D. (G) 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S. 7. Zedadka K.	80. Artioli F. 10. Bellomo N. 90. Cuni M. 49. De Pieri G. 24. Dickmann L. 19. Esteves T. 9. Gytkjaer C. 30. Mane M. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 37. Stabile G. 29. Verreth M.
Coaches
Castori F.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
39', Maggiore G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maggiore G. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
57', Mantovani V. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
68', Pagano R. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
81', Odenthal C. 🟨,
83', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
84', Rao E. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
84', Braunoder M. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
85', Artioli F. 🟨,
86', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
86', Casiraghi D. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.

Südtirol is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Südtirol is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Südtirol: Bordon F. (Inactive) Cragno A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kofler R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bari: Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Sibilli G. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Bari: Cistana A. (Injury) Verreth M. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
15.05.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
15.05.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Catanzaro - Bari	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Bari - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Avellino - Bari	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.05.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
15.02.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0
13.05.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0
21.12.24	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
24.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	1:0
09.12.23	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1

Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide