Match Info

ITALY: Serie A Women - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ferruccio (Seregno)

Referee: Gandino D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Como		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.55	3.95	5
	1.56	4.08	5.6	Watch
	1.49	4.05	5.53	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	4.05 ↓ (4.33)	5.28 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
60.1%

Draw
22.6%

Sampdoria
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

19.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Como - Sampdoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gilardi A. (G) 2. Marcussen A. 24. Rizzon G. 11. Conc D. 3. Guagni A. 16. Karlernas J. 20. Vaitukaityte L. 21. Picchi M. 33. Kramzar Z. 7. Nischler N. 9. del Estal E.	16. Larsen K. (G) 26. Bertucci S. 23. Pisani E. 11. Heroum N. 3. Nano M. 21. Re C. 44. Barbieri A. 40. Fallico B. 17. Llopis Alvarez M. 18. Burbassi G. 24. Baldi S.
Substitutes
12. Aprile R. (G) 6. Bergersen M. 10. Bolden S. 29. Dogliani M. 19. Engman A. 4. Hansen L. 28. Kerr A. 13. Liva A. 25. Marchiori C. 17. Sagen T. 36. Soggiu V. (G)	7. Arcangeli N. 8. Bercelli K. 4. Colombo S. 10. Evans M. 36. Nespolo S. (G) 2. Panzeri V. 14. Pellegrino C. G. 20. Rosignoli S. 35. Zilli E.
Coaches
Sottili S.	Casazza F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Burbassi G. ⚽, Llopis Alvarez M. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Nischler N. ⚽, del Estal E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Re C. ⚽, Bertucci S. (A),
57', Barbieri A. 🟨,
60', Guagni A. ↓, Engman A. ↑,
60', Karlernas J. ↓, Kerr A. ↑,
60', Marcussen A. ↓, Bergersen M. ↑,
60', Re C. ↓, Colombo S. ↑,
67', Llopis Alvarez M. ↓, Pittaccio F. ↑,
79', Conc D. ↓, Hansen L. ↑,
80', Picchi M. ↓, Bolden S. ↑,
88', Burbassi G. ↓, Rosignoli S. ↑,
90+2', Baldi S. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Bolden S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 2.

Recent matches Como is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampdoria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Como is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Como won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Como Women
Italian Serie A Women
16.03.25	Lazio - Como	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Napoli - Como	4:2 ✺
02.02.25	Como - Lazio	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Como - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLL
- Sampdoria Women
Italian Serie A Women
15.03.25	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Lazio - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Roma - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Napoli - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
15.12.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:2
28.09.24	Como - Sampdoria	1:1
01.05.24	Como - Sampdoria	3:1
23.03.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:0
14.01.24	Como - Sampdoria	0:1
07.10.23	Sampdoria - Como	1:2
07.05.23	Como - Sampdoria	2:1

Como - Sampdoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide