Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Complutense Alcalá		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.8	2.88	2.25
	3.05	2.95	2.16
	2.92	2.91	2.35
	2.88	3.14	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Complutense Alcalá
30.6%

Draw
29.8%

Ursaria
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

19%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Complutense Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Complutense Alcalá than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Complutense Alcalá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Complutense Alcalá - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Complutense Alcalá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Complutense Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.11.21	Parla - Complutense Alcalá	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Complutense Alcalá - CDE Madrid	1:0 ✺
17.11.21	Getafe B - Complutense Alcalá	4:1 ✺
13.11.21	Complutense Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Galapagar - Complutense Alcalá	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLWL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.11.21	Ursaria - Moratalaz	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Ursaria - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Ursaria - Torrejón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTT

Complutense Alcalá - Ursaria

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Complutense Alcalá - Ursaria Predictions

Preview

Form

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