Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Compostela		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.65	3.65	5.53
	1.65	3.5	5.53
	1.55	3.74	5.3
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	3.75 ↑ (3.1)	5.45 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
58.6%

Draw
24.6%

Cayón
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

29.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Compostela - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Compostela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cayón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cayón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Compostela is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Langreo - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Compostela - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Compostela - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	3:4 ✺
15.10.23	Compostela - RC Villalbes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL
- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Cayón - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Ursaria - Cayón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Arandina - Cayón	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Cayón - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Rayo Cantabria - Cayón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTTT

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