Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Compostela		Somozas

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.35	5.35
	1.68	3.33	5.19	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.64	3.36	5.2
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	3.29 ↓ (3.63)	5.15 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
54.8%

Draw
27.6%

Somozas
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.7%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Compostela - Somozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Maceira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 🟥,
64', 2 - 0, Parapar J. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Canizares J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Compostela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Somozas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Compostela is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Compostela will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.12.25	Montañeros - Compostela	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Compostela - Arosa	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Arteixo - Compostela	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Compostela - Noia	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	RC Villalbes - Compostela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWT
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Somozas - Estradense	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Viveiro - Somozas	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Montañeros - Somozas	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Somozas - Arosa	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Arteixo - Somozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Compostela - Somozas	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.02.16	Somozas - Compostela	0:0
27.09.15	Compostela - Somozas	0:1
26.04.15	Somozas - Compostela	0:0
07.12.14	Compostela - Somozas	0:0

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