Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Somozas |
|
Estradense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.88 |
2.72 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.79 |
2.79 |
2.71 |
|
 |
3.1 |
2.82 |
2.44 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.7 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.83 |
2.73 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(3.09) |
2.75 ↓
(2.8) |
2.58 ↑
(2.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Somozas
31.9% | Draw
33% | Estradense
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+4%)Somozas - Estradense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Bellas B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 3.Somozas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Estradense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Estradense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 17.04.25 | Somozas - Estradense | 2:0 | | 15.09.24 | Estradense - Somozas | 3:1 | | 07.04.24 | Somozas - Estradense | 3:0 | | 19.11.23 | Estradense - Somozas | 2:0 | | 23.04.23 | Somozas - Estradense | 2:1 | | 08.01.23 | Estradense - Somozas | 0:1 | | 30.01.22 | Somozas - Estradense | 2:0 |
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