The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Compostela 50.2%
Draw 27.7%
Arosa 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25.7%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
25.3%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Compostela - Arosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Maceira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Compostela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Compostela is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).