Match Info

Primera B - Round 32

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Merlo		Sportivo Dock Sud

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.85	2.55
	2.40	2.90	2.75	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.88
	2.59	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.70	2.75	2.65
	2.74	2.87	2.82
	2.60	2.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.38)	2.83 ↓ (3)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
34.8%

Draw
32.1%

Sportivo Dock Sud
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sportivo Dock Sud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 11. Aguerre F. 5. Alfieri L. 8. Benitez F. 2. Figueredo L. 10. Linas M. 4. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 7. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 3. Velasco A.	1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 3. Barreiro A. 5. Chamorro T. 10. Gomez G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Meza F. 8. Perrone H. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
14. Barrientos L. 15. Busto J. 18. Cabrera D. 19. Da Rosa J. E. 20. Gugenheim C. 17. Hernandez R. 16. Maguicha D. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Soos J.	18. Arias A. 20. Arriola B. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 13. Gauna M. 16. Gualtieri G. 19. Nicolaievsky F. 14. Obregon J. 15. Otero F. 17. Perez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Villalba B. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Villalba B. ⚽,
63', Velasco A. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
63', Aguerre F. ↓, Barrientos L. ↑,
63', Linas M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Gomez G. ⚽,
69', Alfieri L. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
77', Figueredo L. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
77', Vivas S. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
80', Benitez F. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
82', Gomez G. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
82', Alvarez I. ↓, Otero F. ↑,
88', Villalba B. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
88', Guerrero N. ↓, Gauna M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Quinteros E. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.

Recent form of Deportivo Merlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dock Sud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dock Sud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40:42	-2	47
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Dock Sud - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
22.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	0:4 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTL
- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
23.08.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Camioneros	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - San Martín de Burzaco	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Liniers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
18.10.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
31.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0
11.08.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
23.03.24	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0
09.10.23	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:2
04.06.23	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:5

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