Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Comércio e Indústria		Louletano

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.58
	5.88	3.69	1.51
	6.04	3.67	1.53	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.53
	5.95	3.72	1.55
	3.9	3.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (3.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comércio e Indústria
16.6%

Draw
25.9%

Louletano
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

27%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comércio e Indústria's form might have worsened.

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louletano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Comércio e Indústria - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 4, ⚽,
55', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Comércio Indústria is Relegated to

Comércio Indústria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Louletano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Louletano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Louletano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.03.26	Sintrense - Comércio e Indústria	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Comércio e Indústria - Portimonense B	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Comércio e Indústria	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Comércio e Indústria - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWT
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.03.26	Louletano - Serpa	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Louletano - Oriental	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Alverca B - Louletano	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Louletano - Elvas	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Juventude de Évora - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.11.25	Louletano - Comércio e Indústria	1:0
25.01.25	Louletano - Comércio e Indústria	1:0
01.09.24	Comércio e Indústria - Louletano	0:1

Comércio e Indústria - Louletano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide