Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio das Seixas (Malveira)


	Atlético da Malveira		Comércio e Indústria

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.65	3.38	4.89
	1.66	3.43	4.99	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.63	3.36	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.31 ↑ (3.31)	4.88 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético da Malveira
54.2%

Draw
27.3%

Comércio e Indústria
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Atlético da Malveira - Comércio e Indústria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Malveira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Comércio Indústria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Malveira is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malveira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Serpa - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Oriental - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTLW
- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Comércio e Indústria - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Serpa	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Comércio e Indústria - Atlético da Malveira	1:2

Atlético da Malveira - Comércio e Indústria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide