Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)


	Louletano		Elvas

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.92	3.95
	1.84	3	4.33
	1.86	3.08	4.34	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.86	2.96	4.44
	1.84	3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)	4.22 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louletano
48.3%

Draw
30.3%

Elvas
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louletano's performance.

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elvas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elvas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louletano - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Louletano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Louletano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Louletano - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Juventude de Évora - Louletano	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Louletano - Lagoa	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Louletano - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Portimonense B - Louletano	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWL
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Elvas - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Portimonense B - Elvas	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Moncarapachense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.09.25	Elvas - Louletano	0:0
14.01.24	Elvas - Louletano	1:1
27.08.23	Louletano - Elvas	1:1

Louletano - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide