Match Info

Catarinense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima (Concórdia)


	Concórdia		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	2.77	2.06
	2.68	1.88	5.87	Watch
	3.9	2.75	2
	4.15	2.76	2.02
	3.8	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (4)	2.63 ↓ (2.85)	2.79 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Concórdia
26.6%

Draw
37.8%

Brusque
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

31.9%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

30.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Concórdia - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira (G) 8. Anthonio Sergio 9. Campos Eric 5. da Costa Silva P. M. 10. Gaudencio 2. Kaik 3. Lucas Barboza (C) 11. Luiz Phillipe 6. Matheus Streit 7. Petterson 4. Thiago Freitas	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 3. Alisson Cassiano 5. Bernardo 8. Biel Fonseca (C) 11. Clinton 7. Gazao 2. Leonardo Ataide 21. Luizao 4. Rafael Milhorim 6. Raimar 14. Ryan Santos
Substitutes
12. Augusto J. (G) 18. Caike 14. Da Silva 26. Eberson 17. Enzo Trentin 20. Hiago 19. Joao Araujo 15. Leo Gama 25. Matheus Maia 16. Puerari E. 23. William	15. Alex Paulino 19. Alvaro 24. Italo 16. Joao Felix 18. Joao Pedro 10. Joao Pedro 20. Joao Prado 9. Olavio 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 22. Petterson Novaes 13. Salas M.
Coaches
Barcellos H.	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Clinton 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaik ↓, Enzo Trentin ↑,
64', Luiz Phillipe ↓, Matheus Maia ↑,
67', Ryan Santos 🟨,
75', Luizao ↓, Alvaro ↑,
75', Gazao ↓, Joao Prado ↑,
76', Joao Prado 🟨,
81', Campos Eric 🟨,
82', Leonardo Ataide ↓, Italo ↑,
84', Campos Eric ↓, Joao Araujo ↑,
89', Raimar 🟨,
90', Anthonio Sergio 🟨,
90+2', da Costa Silva P. M. ↓, Caike ↑,
90+4', Biel Fonseca ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
90+10', Bernardo 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concórdia won 1.

Concórdia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brusque is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brusque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brusque is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Concórdia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Concórdia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Concórdia - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Concórdia - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Concórdia - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Concórdia - Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.01.26	Criciúma - Brusque	3:3 ✺
21.01.26	Brusque - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Brusque - Carlos Renaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
29.09.25	Brusque - Concórdia	2:0
24.09.25	Concórdia - Brusque	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.25	Concórdia - Brusque	1:4
07.02.24	Concórdia - Brusque	1:1
23.03.23	Brusque - Concórdia	2:0
19.03.23	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0
08.02.23	Brusque - Concórdia	0:0

Upcoming Matches