Match Info

National - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Concarneau		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.02
	3.84	3.31	2.06
	3.64	3.2	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.75	3.23	2.03	Watch
	3.1	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.23)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
25.5%

Draw
29%

Dijon
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

29.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Concarneau - Dijon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dijon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 26. Sinquin T. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 27. Halby J. 23. Goujon L. 10. Gbelle G. 3. Inquel S. 8. Picouleau M. 18. Da Silva F. 21. Baldoni S.	16. Delecroix P. (G) 2. Diallo I. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 7. Hamada B. 8. Bellon P. 18. Ndezi B. 10. Barka Y. 14. Marie J. (C) 11. Tavares J.
Substitutes
40. Cenatiempo V. (G) 5. Etcheverria B. 20. Ntumi M. 11. Soukouna Y. 7. Varvat J.	4. Barreto M. 21. Chouchane S. 22. Domingues J. 23. Lacroix L. 29. Ntamack A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bernard Q. ⚽, Hamada B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Ndezi B. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
64', Barka Y. ↓, Domingues J. ↑,
64', Gbelle G. ↓, Ntumi M. ↑,
64', Da Silva F. ↓, Soukouna Y. ↑,
70', Tavares J. 🟨,
73', Inquel S. ↓, Etcheverria B. ↑,
79', Marie J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
79', Goujon L. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
89', Hamada B. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
89', Tavares J. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
90+3', Ntumi M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Baldoni S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

In recent matches, Concarneau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dijon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dijon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dijon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
27.02.26	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Concarneau - Versailles	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Concarneau - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
20.02.26	Villefranche - Dijon	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Dijon - Caen	3:3 ✺
06.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Dijon	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Dijon - Stade Briochin	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Rouen FC - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Dijon - Concarneau	3:0
04.04.25	Dijon - Concarneau	0:1
08.11.24	Concarneau - Dijon	1:2
Coupe De France
20.01.15	Concarneau - Dijon	1:0 ET

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