Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.88	3.35	2.15
	2.8	3.35	2.25
	3	3.54	2.23
	3	3.1	2.25
	2.91	3.38	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.36)	3.33 ↑ (2.8)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
31.5%

Draw
27.4%

Braintree Town
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

32.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

32.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Concord Rangers - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Concord is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braintree will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Concord won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
29.08.22	Chelmsford City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Concord Rangers - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	5:0 ✺
16.08.22	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Concord Rangers - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTW
- Braintree Town
English National League South
29.08.22	Cheshunt - Braintree Town	0:5 ✺
27.08.22	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
16.08.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.04.22	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	0:1
04.12.21	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	2:2
17.11.20	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	1:0
28.12.19	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	0:1
03.09.19	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	2:2
14.04.18	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	2:1
12.09.17	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	0:1

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