Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Braintree Town		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3.67	5.11
	1.68	3.67	5.11
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.67	3.72	4.74
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	4.8 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
55.6%

Draw
25.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Blair A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Blair A. ⚽,
84', King C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 4.

Braintree is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hemel Hempstead has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hemel Hempstead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Braintree won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
29.03.24	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
29.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	3:4 ✺
23.03.24	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2
14.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	1:1
16.08.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
30.04.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
21.08.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:3
31.10.20	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:4
15.02.20	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0

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