Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.87
	3.25	3.45	1.95
	3.45	3.55	1.89
	3.8	3.72	1.88
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.72	3.56	1.84
	3.45	3.55	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.8)	3.49 ↑ (3)	1.94 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
26.7%

Draw
26.2%

Eastbourne Borough
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastbourne Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Concord has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eastbourne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Eastbourne have a series of home games.

Eastbourne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Concord won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
03.09.22	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Chelmsford City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Concord Rangers - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	5:0 ✺
16.08.22	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Eastbourne Borough
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Eastbourne Borough - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Eastbourne Borough - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Eastbourne Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	2:0
13.11.21	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:1
12.12.20	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:2
25.01.20	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	2:2
07.12.19	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	5:0
27.04.19	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	1:2
13.11.18	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	3:0

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