Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Eastbourne Borough		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.30	3.00
	2.02	3.55	2.85
	1.80	3.79	3.73
	2.09	3.84	2.87	Watch
	1.76	3.75	3.65
	2.06	3.55	2.92
	2.06	3.70	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	3.64 ↓ (3.66)	3.13 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
46.1%

Draw
24.9%

Welling United
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Eastbourne Borough - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Rees J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 3.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Welling may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Welling has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Eastbourne holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Eastbourne has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eastbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 21:15 goals (averaging 1.9:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27:15	12	30
5	Eastbourne Boro	12	7	2	3	23:13	10	23

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.10.26	Carshalton Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	0:4 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Thame United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Eastbourne Borough - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Eastbourne Borough - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Lewes - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.10.26	Maldon & Tiptree - Welling United	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Welling United - Whyteleafe	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Welling United - Chertsey Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Welling United - Cheshunt	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	4:1
12.10.24	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
16.12.23	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2
23.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	2:2
10.04.23	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
13.09.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	0:1
15.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	3:3

Upcoming Matches