Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.82
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.65	3.5	1.85
	3.79	3.68	1.89
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.78	3.65	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
24.8%

Draw
26%

Maidstone United
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.8%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.5%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concord Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidstone United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Concord Rangers - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Concord is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Maidstone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidstone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maidstone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Concord won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
25.01.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	4:1 ✺
08.01.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
02.01.22	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
28.12.21	Concord Rangers - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTL
- Maidstone United
English National League South
25.01.22	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
22.01.22	St Albans City - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
08.01.22	Billericay Town - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
02.01.22	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.09.21	Maidstone United - Concord Rangers	2:2
31.10.20	Maidstone United - Concord Rangers	6:0
English FA Trophy
14.12.19	Maidstone United - Concord Rangers	2:3
English National League South
24.08.19	Concord Rangers - Maidstone United	0:1
30.01.16	Maidstone United - Concord Rangers	2:2
31.10.15	Concord Rangers - Maidstone United	1:2

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