Match Info

National League South - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Maidstone United		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.15	3
	2.29	3.17	3.19
	2.25	3.29	3.12	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.22	3.05	3.12
	2.25	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.08)	3.12 ↓ (3.55)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
40.9%

Draw
29.3%

Ebbsfleet United
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Tanga J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Moore D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 3 - 0, Passley J. (Own goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3.

Maidstone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ebbsfleet is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maidstone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Ebbsfleet: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Maidstone United - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Ebbsfleet United - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.2%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
24.01.26	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Torquay United - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWT
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
24.01.26	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chippenham Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League South
30.12.25	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	1:0
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0
English National League South
25.01.22	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0
23.11.21	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	2:3
17.11.20	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	0:0
English National League
23.03.19	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	0:2
30.10.18	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	1:1

Upcoming Matches