Match Info

National League South - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.15	6.3
	1.49	4.40	5.61	Watch
	1.51	4.68	5.2
	1.41	4.25	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	4.37 ↓ (4.4)	5.94 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
63.3%

Draw
21.2%

Tonbridge Angels
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Simon E. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Kargbo H. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, Shields S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3.

Maidstone is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tonbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tonbridge has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maidstone is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Maidstone will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
25.10.25	Slough Town - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
21.10.25	Maidstone United - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Maidstone United - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTW
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
25.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	Maidenhead United - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Horsham	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.04.25	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
26.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:3
01.01.24	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
26.12.23	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1
02.01.22	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
26.12.21	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	0:1
01.01.20	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:2

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