Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Concord Rangers		Worthing

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.46
	5.5	4	1.47
	5.6	4.4	1.44
	5.98	4.25	1.51
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	5.85	4.4	1.44
	5.4	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.08)	4.15 ↑ (3.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
16.8%

Draw
22%

Worthing
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Concord Rangers - Worthing Predictions

Users Predictions: Worthing will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Concord has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worthing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Worthing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Worthing to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
24.09.22	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:4 ✺
03.09.22	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Chelmsford City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Concord Rangers - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
24.09.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Slough Town - Worthing	1:3 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Worthing - Cheshunt	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	St Albans City - Worthing	0:1 ✺
29.08.22	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWT

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