Match Info

National League South - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.65	2
	3.19	3.62	2.11
	3.17	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.16	3.48	2.02
	3.14	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.54)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)	2.05 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
29.1%

Draw
25.9%

Worthing
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+4%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Worthing (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Campbell R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Worthing might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
10.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
03.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
07.02.26	Dover Athletic - Worthing	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:0
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0
24.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1
23.12.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	2:0
09.09.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
29.04.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
24.09.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1

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