Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Atlético Municipal de Concón (Concón)


	Concón National		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	4	2.75	2.05
	3.98	2.7	2.15
	3.96	2.83	2.07	Watch
	3.89	2.82	2.05
	4	2.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.3)	2.77 ↓ (3.68)	2.07 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concón National
23%

Draw
33%

Deportes Puerto Montt
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

24.8%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+5%)

Concón National - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pizarro P. (G) 29. Andrade Moya J. 17. Araya K. 21. Davis G. 22. Gattas R. 26. Jopia Arias C. 8. Llanos J. 10. Ragusa F. 2. Rivera B. 12. Vargas L. 9. Vera V.	13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. 20. Bahamonde D. 5. Calisto F. 23. Castillo G. 6. Diaz D. 17. Flores Secal K. 16. Ormeno M. 28. Perez S. 4. Riveros M. 9. Vazquez L.
Substitutes
25. Cabrera Torres F. (G) . Contreras S. 15. Garate Rojas P. 7. Leiton C. 27. Lopez J. 5. Torres B. 11. Zuniga R.	25. Bustos G. 8. Cardenas J. 1. Catalan K. (G) 2. Rodriguez C. 21. Toledo M. 27. Torres S. 10. Vargas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Riveros M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flores Secal K. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
63', Vera V. 🟨,
65', Gattas R. 🟨,
65', Rivera B. 🟨,
68', Llanos J. ↓, Zuniga R. ↑,
73', Perez S. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
82', Vera V. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
82', Bahamonde D. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
89', Ragusa F. ↓, Garate Rojas P. ↑,
89', Gattas R. ↓, Leiton C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Concón National has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Puerto Montt is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Puerto Montt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Puerto Montt is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Concón National won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Concón National won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
27.04.25	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Concón National - Santiago City	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Provincial Osorno - Concón National	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Concón National - Deportes Linares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLL
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
03.05.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
03.08.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Concón National	3:1
25.03.24	Concón National - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:3

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