Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Regional de Chinquihue (Puerto Montt)


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.15	4.3
	1.83	3.1	5.21
	1.84	2.97	4.8	Watch
	1.84	2.91	4.88
	1.82	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.06 ↑ (2.84)	4.7 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
50.3%

Draw
30.1%

Provincial Ovalle
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

32.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

32.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. (C) 18. Arias M. 20. Bahamonde D. 23. Castillo G. 6. Diaz D. 16. Ormeno M. 28. Perez S. 4. Riveros M. 21. Toledo M. 10. Vargas C.	1. Abarzua F. (G) 24. Avila M. 23. Barrios N. 10. Becerra M. 2. Bravo S. 28. Harding G. 14. Monardes D. 4. Navarrete E. 8. Pavez J. 5. Rivera N. 27. Serrano K.
Substitutes
11. Arias J. 8. Cardenas J. 1. Catalan K. (G) 17. Flores Secal K. 2. Rodriguez C. 27. Torres S. 3. Yanez V.	20. Bobadilla S. 22. Bravo D. 15. Cortes A. 18. Mundaca K. 12. Orellana G. (G) 16. Solano B. 9. Tolosa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Monardes D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Perez S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Perez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pavez J. ↓, Bobadilla S. ↑,
46', Navarrete E. ↓, Solano B. ↑,
58', Antinirre H. 🟨,
59', Vargas C. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
63', Becerra M. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
67', Arias M. ↓, Flores Secal K. ↑,
81', Perez S. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
84', Monardes D. ↓, Mundaca K. ↑,
84', Avila M. ↓, Tolosa T. ↑,
88', Cardenas J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Puerto Montt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Puerto Montt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
26.04.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWW
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
27.04.25	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:3 ✺
17.04.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Ovalle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
13.07.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2
02.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Ovalle	1:0

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