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Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias 42.2%
Draw 28.8%
Hercílio Luz 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
27%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2.
Hercílio Luz is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Marcílio Dias may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Marcílio Dias is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Marcílio Dias has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marcílio Dias against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 0.6:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Marcilio Dias
5
3
1
1
15:9
6
10
3
Hercilio Luz
4
3
0
1
11:8
3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Náutico Marcílio Dias - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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