Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Confiança		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3	3.75
	1.82	3.1	4.25	Watch
	1.81	3.25	4.56
	1.84	3.18	4.7
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.8	3.1	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	4.33 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
49.5%

Draw
29.5%

Maranhão
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

30%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

30.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Confiança - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maranhão will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Gabriel Zeca 7. Gustavo Nicola 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 9. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 10. PK 5. Renilson 2. Weriton	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 2. Ball 29. Felipe Cruz 18. Keven 4. Lucao 26. Luis Gustavo 15. Rosivan 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
21. Breiner C. 17. Danielzinho 13. Eduardo Moura 20. Fabricio Oya 18. Guilherme Nunes 15. Joao Mandovani 19. Maikon Aquino 14. Mateus Ludke 16. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 22. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa	3. Edson Fernando 7. Felipe Sales 9. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 6. Lucas Santos 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 14. Tiburcio 12. Vitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Vagalume 🟨,
38', 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Guilherme Nunes ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Vagalume ⚽,
68', Renilson ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
68', Iago Silva ↓, Sassa ↑,
73', Keven ↓, Tiburcio ↑,
74', 🟨,
78', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
78', Luis Gustavo ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
78', Andre Radija ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
80', Weriton ↓, Mateus Ludke ↑,
81', Lucas Santos 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Icaro ⚽,
87', Ball ↓, Railson ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).

Confiança has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maranhão has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Confiança has had a series of home games.

In this match, Confiança is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Confiança - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.26	Ituano - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.05.26	Confiança - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.05.26	Confiança - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
09.05.26	Maranhão - Botafogo PB	3:1 ✺
04.05.26	Floresta - Maranhão	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Maranhão - Ceará	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWL

Confiança - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide