Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Confiança		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.70	2.95	2.50	Watch
	2.87	3.10	2.35
	2.96	3.08	2.46	Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.25
	2.99	3.02	2.48	Watch
	2.85	2.90	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Confiança
31.9%

Draw
30.2%

Maringá
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Confiança - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Silva (G) 8. Guilherme Nunes 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 9. Luiz Thiago 5. Madison 2. Mateus Ludke 6. Matheus Juliao 7. Pedro Felipe 10. PK 3. Renilson	25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar (C)
Substitutes
15. Alisson 21. Breiner C. 12. Cadu (G) 20. Danielzinho 18. Gabriel Zeca 13. Joao Mandovani 17. Joao Pedro 16. Kelvyn 23. Maikon Aquino 14. Paulo Henrique 22. Valdir Junior 19. Welder	1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 17. Iago Santana 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 16. Rian Patric 37. Serginho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Icaro 🟨,
35', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luiz Thiago ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
46', PK ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Caique Calito ⚽,
60', Caique Calito ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Icaro ⚽,
63', Pedro Felipe ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
64', Lucas Bonifacio 🟨,
65', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
68', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
75', Lucas Bonifacio ↓, Serginho ↑,
75', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
76', Iago Silva ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
82', Madison 🟨,
82', Ronald Camarao ↓, Rafinha ↑,
82', Thiago Rosa ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 12).

Confiança has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maringá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Confiança won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.26	Paysandu - Confiança	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLT
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.26	Maringá - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maringá - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
03.05.25	Maringá - Confiança	3:2

Upcoming Matches