Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)


	Confiança		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.9	3.6
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.13	2.96	3.9
	2.13	2.95	3.9
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	2.04	2.97	3.71	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	3.74 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
44.6%

Draw
31%

Aparecidense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Confiança - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Igo Gabriel (G) 8. Andre 6. Felippe Borges 2. Lucas Mendes 7. Lucas Rian 5. Luiz Otavio 9. Rafael Furtado 3. Raphael 4. Robson 10. Vico 11. Willians Santana (C)	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 7. Cauari 3. Da Silva 11. Dudu 9. Ezequiel 2. Genilson 13. Luan Sales 5. Matheus Chaves 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 14. Victor Oliveira
Substitutes
13. Afonso 17. Anderson Recife 18. Claudinho 14. Diego Ivo 16. Eduardo 15. Fabio Silva 22. Junior 19. Leandro Kivel 1. Pedro Henz (G) 20. Pedro Rodrigues 21. Riquelmo 23. Ruan Nascimento	16. Emanuel 17. Enzo 19. Julio Cesar 18. Juninho 15. Luan Martins 12. Matheus Alves (G) 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 4. Mauricio 21. Vitinho 22. Wendell
Coaches
Gerson Gusmao	Lucio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Willians Santana ⚽,
43', Da Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Luan Sales ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Da Silva ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
47', Igo Gabriel 🟨,
54', Vico ↓, Pedro Rodrigues ↑,
54', Willians Santana ↓, Claudinho ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
63', Genilson ↓, Enzo ↑,
67', Rafael Furtado ↓, Eduardo ↑,
67', Felippe Borges ↓, Leandro Kivel ↑,
68', Ezequiel 🟨,
71', Ezequiel ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
75', Matheus Chaves ↓, Mauricio ↑,
75', Luan Sales 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Lucas Rian ⚽,
82', Lucas Rian 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Andre ⚽,
88', Lucas Rian ↓, Fabio Silva ↑,
90', Claudinho 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aparecidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Confiança will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Confiança - ABC	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Confiança - Tombense	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Confiança	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Confiança - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
20.05.24	Athletic Club - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
13.05.24	Aparecidense - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	2:2 ✺
24.04.24	Aparecidense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.08.23	Aparecidense - Confiança	1:0
28.05.22	Confiança - Aparecidense	1:1

Confiança - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide