Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.41	3.05	3.21
	2.41	2.96	3.21
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.3	3.1	3.08	Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.54)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	3.02 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
39.6%

Draw
30.1%

Sampaio Corrêa
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Aparecidense - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 7. Cauari 8. Du 11. Dudu 16. Emanuel P. 9. Ezequiel 2. Genilson 5. Guilherme Nunes 4. Mauricio 10. Robert (C) 3. Vanderley	1. Felipe (G) 6. Bruno Cortez 7. Costa E. 15. Eloir 19. Evandro 8. Ferreira (C) 18. Joao Felipe 23. Lucas Lopes 2. Luiz R. 13. Onwudiwe F. 22. Thallyson
Substitutes
17. Dyego 15. Jefferson 13. Luan Sales 21. Marcelinho 12. Matheus Alves (G) 18. Matheus Chaves 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 22. Rhuan 14. Victor Oliveira 25. Wendell	12. Alan (G) 9. Brunao 11. Claudio Cebolinha 10. Escuro 3. Fabio Aguiar 21. Gazao 14. Itambe 20. Jhonata Varela 5. Pablo Oliveira 16. Thiago Rosa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Cauari 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Du ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Luiz R. ↓, Escuro ↑,
50', Ferreira 🟨,
57', Escuro 🟨,
61', Evandro ↓, Brunao ↑,
61', Eloir ↓, Pablo Oliveira ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Robert ⚽,
71', Ferreira ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
76', Dudu 🟨,
81', Joao Felipe 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aparecidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
27.03.24	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Aparecidense - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
20.04.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	Canceled ✺
16.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	3:3 ✺
09.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?TWWT

Aparecidense - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide