Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)


	Athletic Club		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4	7
	1.42	4	7
	1.41	4.24	8.4
	1.41	4.24	8.4
	1.33	4	7.5
	1.37	3.97	11.6	Watch
	1.35	4.1	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	4.08 ↑ (3.55)	8.36 ↑ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
66.5%

Draw
22.5%

Aparecidense
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

25.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

24.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Athletic Club - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Club will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glauco (G) 3. Danilo Cardoso 10. David Braga 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 7. Geovane 9. Jonathas 11. Villero P. 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 7. Cauari 14. Da Silva 11. Dudu 16. Emanuel 9. Ezequiel 2. Genilson 5. Guilherme Nunes 13. Luan Sales 10. Robert (C) 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
21. Bruno Gomes 18. Caldeira R. 26. Diego Vitor (G) 13. Douglas Pele 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 14. Leo Cruz 22. Lucas Mineiro 15. Marcelo Sousa 17. Nathan 19. Neto Costa 16. Rafael Conceicao 20. Robinho	17. Enzo 20. Juninho 18. Luan Martins 12. Matheus Alves (G) 15. Matheus Chaves 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 4. Mauricio 6. Rodrigues 21. Ruan 22. Vitinho 19. Wendell

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Jonathas ⚽,
57', Djalma 🟨,
58', 🟨,
62', Dudu ↓, Ruan ↑,
62', Robert ↓, Juninho ↑,
71', Diego Fumaca ↓, Caldeira R. ↑,
71', David Braga ↓, Robinho ↑,
79', Da Silva 🟨,
81', Geovane 🟨,
83', Djalma ↓, Rafael Conceicao ↑,
88', Geovane ↓, Nathan ↑,
88', Villero P. ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
90', Luan Martins 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).

Athletic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletic is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletic to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
12.05.24	CS Alagoano - Athletic Club	0:5 ✺
05.05.24	Athletic Club - ABC	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Caxias - Athletic Club	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
13.05.24	Aparecidense - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	2:2 ✺
24.04.24	Aparecidense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
27.03.24	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWL

Upcoming Matches